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Top Story: Why Bing predicts Trump and Clinton have Super Tuesday locked down

Top Story: Why Bing predicts Trump and Clinton have Super Tuesday locked down
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In any major event, there are always people who like to make predictions on the outcome, and there's no exception when it comes to the U.S. presidential race. Turn on any news channel or radio station and you'll hear political pundits debating who is going to win.

This election season, tech companies are getting in on the game. We've already seen Facebook predicting election results based on likes, and now Microsoft is getting into the game using its Bing search site to predict the winners of the Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses.

Microsoft actually has two systems it's using. The first is Search Wave, which anyone can use to see which candidates are getting the most searches. According to Microsoft, Search Wave "breaks down candidate searches by state, age and gender so giving a unique view at how the candidates are stacking up."

That's fine for doing your own analysis, but Microsoft also has Bing Predicts, which uses machine learning to look at search data, polls, social media and other online indicators about specific topics. In the past, Bing has predicted the winners of the Super Bowl, March Madness and the Oscars.

Using Bing Predicts, Microsoft has made some predictions for which candidates will triumph in the popular vote for Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses (it doesn't predict who will get the delegates).

At the moment, it's predicting Donald Trump to win 10 of the 11 states, with only Texas going to Ted Cruz. For the Democrats, Hillary Clinton is predicted to win 10 of the 11 states with only Vermont going to Bernie Sanders.

Showing just how fast these predictions can change, until Hillary Clinton won South Carolina, Bing had Bernie Sanders narrowly winning in Colorado, Massachusetts and Minnesota. Of course, in February, Bing got 7 out of its 8 primary predictions correct, so it has a decent track record.

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Source: GeekWire
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